Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.576880 1.800721 2.045051 2.331567 2.658401 3.019691 3.449504
2025-01-12 1.189354 1.482642 1.831571 2.277419 2.832323 3.500762 4.368096
2025-01-19 0.964267 1.276758 1.671215 2.205923 2.912590 3.815751 5.059971
2025-01-26 0.885047 1.231371 1.690322 2.343438 3.250266 4.467062 6.228078
2025-02-02 0.824915 1.198127 1.714036 2.479864 3.589778 5.143428 7.490475
2025-02-09 0.765591 1.155596 1.715481 2.578623 3.878572 5.768531 8.735564
2025-02-16 0.701108 1.096103 1.683050 2.619712 4.080775 6.279815 9.855598
2025-02-23 0.625673 1.010461 1.600760 2.573359 4.140543 6.576096 10.667487
2025-03-02 0.567330 0.944515 1.540676 2.552764 4.233925 6.926192 11.588904
2025-03-09 0.523339 0.896603 1.503394 2.563014 4.374338 7.358329 12.677222
2025-03-16 0.484761 0.853397 1.468866 2.572817 4.512000 7.793631 13.805225
2025-03-23 0.453028 0.818483 1.444368 2.596066 4.672374 8.277334 15.055957
2025-03-30 0.411251 0.762578 1.379818 2.545108 4.701403 8.542829 15.957958
2025-04-06 0.372811 0.709023 1.314563 2.486676 4.711373 8.775260 16.822813
2025-04-13 0.336052 0.654827 1.242810 2.408554 4.675760 8.918177 17.527991
2025-04-20 0.332865 0.664143 1.289536 2.558756 5.086538 9.928790 19.993905
2025-04-27 0.329191 0.672005 1.333860 2.707769 5.507634 10.994136 22.665507
2025-05-04 0.320609 0.669121 1.356733 2.815642 5.855538 11.944566 25.191223
2025-05-11 0.305718 0.651842 1.349232 2.860523 6.078049 12.661279 27.297332
2025-05-18 0.282445 0.614817 1.298239 2.809892 6.095908 12.958976 28.541259
2025-05-25 0.263934 0.586227 1.262164 2.787396 6.170904 13.380671 30.089052
2025-06-01 0.250006 0.566310 1.242600 2.798592 6.319295 13.969435 32.056224
2025-06-08 0.237097 0.547469 1.223676 2.809299 6.467019 14.567978 34.098167